Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 14.743130 16.821790 19.049228 21.609026 24.464734 27.547718 31.122982
2024-10-13 11.734971 14.531512 17.740713 21.677983 26.359180 31.726874 38.326326
2024-10-20 9.141669 12.231924 16.013092 20.939633 27.143818 34.648973 44.360274
2024-10-27 7.143543 10.301004 14.408683 20.071936 27.593498 37.146674 50.088672
2024-11-03 6.216174 9.587867 14.220427 20.932043 30.265265 42.622255 60.022555
2024-11-10 5.770893 9.455222 14.769162 22.810271 34.446361 50.409887 73.637093
2024-11-17 5.170672 8.989972 14.765465 23.878699 37.575106 57.004586 86.151723
2024-11-24 4.429937 8.180318 14.127994 23.911624 39.172774 61.538052 96.092118
2024-12-01 3.693495 7.249348 13.164339 23.303930 39.707638 64.518758 103.953809
2024-12-08 3.181886 6.613812 12.582446 23.210225 40.984621 68.646700 113.744004
2024-12-15 2.823178 6.191066 12.294772 23.548083 42.944702 73.916030 125.567229
2024-12-22 2.445537 5.665607 11.751137 23.370946 44.010387 77.813248 135.457672
2024-12-29 2.288848 5.567533 11.996818 24.653962 47.727998 86.350587 153.479315
2025-01-05 2.019193 5.186430 11.656387 24.827980 49.528692 91.858898 166.950903
2025-01-12 1.692815 4.617880 10.866925 24.059935 49.564255 94.382655 175.629585
2025-01-19 1.403599 4.073686 10.044600 23.121308 49.180039 96.126312 183.065837
2025-01-26 1.310957 3.987621 10.182070 24.123420 52.534258 104.659419 202.701928
2025-02-02 1.308499 4.130939 10.841448 26.269560 58.261683 117.789745 231.103661
2025-02-09 1.238308 4.082174 11.057880 27.492866 62.255842 127.982483 254.800448
2025-02-16 1.101685 3.823285 10.749129 27.540172 63.884320 133.881894 271.059597
2025-02-23 0.942758 3.464128 10.145810 26.859067 63.950060 136.822414 282.038227
2025-03-02 0.834077 3.229430 9.814998 26.757447 65.205265 142.089972 297.577926
2025-03-09 0.760505 3.087477 9.699943 27.143072 67.516492 149.517815 317.512273